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Pakistan refinery stocks: rally or reality?

Experts assess refinery gains, gas debt, margins, rates and the PSX outlook.

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Are refinery stocks rallying on real fundamentals, or has the market simply gone too far?

In this latest episode of Stock Watch, powered by Chase Securities, Nukta’s Moiz Ur Rehman and Shahbaz Ashraf, CFA, are joined by Shankar Talreja, CFA, Director of Research at Topline Securities, to unpack the key developments shaping the Pakistan Stock Exchange.

The discussion dives into the FY2027 rally in refinery stocks, examining whether current refining margins, policy shifts and macroeconomic factors justify the surge.

We also look at Pakistan’s PKR 3.6 trillion gas circular debt, the credibility of proposed solutions, the growing pile-up of energy sector receivables, and the push for higher OMC margins following recent relief for dealers.

The episode also explores what the current macroeconomic cycle means for inflation and interest rates, the earnings outlook for leading E&P stocks such as PPL and OGDC, and how investors should navigate the PSX in the months ahead.

Watch the full episode for expert insights into Pakistan’s economy, key market triggers and the PSX outlook.

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